US Congressional Republican leaders made their pitch on February 1 and 2 for handling NAFTA renegotiation and border taxes. Trump’s earlier China commitments seem to have disappeared.
The EU’s Trade Commissioner Cecilia Malmström said in a January 24 speech that the “The election of Donald Trump seems likely to put our EU-US [TTIP] negotiations firmly in the freezer at least for a while”.
The developed world depends almost entirely on imports from poorer countries for its clothing. The world’s biggest apparel importer looks certain to transform its attitude to importing that apparel
Practically every observer thought Hillary Clinton would win the US Presidential election this morning. Most went on to predict her mild hostility to further trade liberalisation meant the short-term prospects for global trade would be looking uncertain by now.
Donald Trump, though, has been consistent and unambiguous about his trade policy.
Why is the TPP (and with it the TTIP and the TiSA) so close to death?
On June 8, leaders of the G7 – including the heads of government in the US, UK, Germany, France and Italy – announced a “goal of … the outline of an agreement… by the end of this year” on the proposed Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP.) On June 9, the European Parliament suspended a debate on TTIP because it was impossible to find a form of words legislators could agree on.
The European Parliament’s trade committee voted for a compromise TTIP proposal on May 28, leaving open some variation of the controversial Investor/state dispute settlement process previously been though to be opposed by a majority of MEPs.
EU announces review of extending its Customs Union with Turkey – but won’t let Turkey into negotiations on TTIP (which Turkey wants to join). It says it will upgrade its free trade deal with Mexico to match its deal with Canada and TTIP – but Americans and some European politicians stay sniffy about its Trade Commissioners’s views on TTIP.
What’s the case for the trade deals – the multinational ones like TPP, TTIP, TiSA and the two-way ones like the EU-Vietnam FTA – there’s so much fuss about getting agreed? In a May 19 Sourcing Journal article I looked at what supporters are arguing. And found little to reassure me.
The senior EU and US trade officials issued a statement on March 20 attempting to reassure widespread European fears that alleged US insistence on the “Investor to State Dispute Settlement” (ISDS) process in the proposed US-EU Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) is a cover for legally enforced privatisation of public services.
EU-US negotiations continued on a free trade TTIP between February 2 and 6, with no surprising delays or advances.
EU Trade Commissioner Cecilia Malmström appeared on December 11 to be hinting the EU would be unsure of its negotiating position on the proposed EU-US TTIP until the end of spring 2015.
“The very, very earliest will be 2017 it might get sent to Congress for approval” says Sandler Travis consultant.